Today the weather persons are bleating breathlessly about "a 31 per cent chance" that Dorian will become a Category 3 hurricane. I would point out that there is a 79 per cent chance that it will not.
Or in even barer terms … 1/3 it will; 2/3rds it won't. Am I the only person in the U.S. that has figured this out? If so, we are all in very deep doo-doo.
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